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In recent months, the semiconductor equipment market has shown remarkable and contrasting trends across different regionsWhile some areas face a downturn, China’s mainland has emerged as a powerhouse in the semiconductor equipment sector, exhibiting an extraordinary growth trajectoryAs per the data released by leading industry associations, including the International Semiconductor Equipment Industry Association (SEMI) and the Japan Semiconductor Equipment Association (SEAJ), Q1 of 2024 has revealed significant changes in sales dynamics that have left industry analysts both intrigued and optimistic.
Despite global sentiments leaning towards caution due to a 2% decline in overall semiconductor equipment sales, which totaled approximately $26.42 billion, the mainland Chinese market proudly reported a staggering surge of 113%, reaching $12.52 billionThis leap illustrates a consistent trend over the past four quarters, establishing China as the largest semiconductor equipment market worldwide.
Comparing regional performances, the downturn in North America was particularly stark, with sales decreasing by a remarkable 33%, impacting the overall global market significantly
This decline underscores broader economic challenges faced in North America and shifts in demand patterns that seem to favor Asian economies, primarily driven by the rapid advancements in technology and subsequent requirements for advanced semiconductor capabilities.
In contrast to the North American market’s struggles, Europe exhibited promising growth with a 23% increase in sales, climbing to about $1.89 billionMeanwhile, Korea experienced a dip of 7%, dropping to $5.2 billionJapan's market saw a modest 4% decline, indicating that even established players are feeling the effects of changing market dynamics, while other regions collectively faced a concerning reduction in sales of 28%.
Amidst this fluctuating landscape, Ajit Manocha, the CEO of SEMI, provided a calming perspective, asserting that despite slight contractions in global semiconductor equipment sales, the industry remains robust and poised for recovery
He highlighted strategic investments and the relentless demand driven by emerging technologies as critical catalysts that could spur growth in the semiconductor equipment sector in the near future.
The burgeoning semiconductor equipment market in China is fueled by several factors, including the rapid development of sub-sectors such as artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, and 5G technologyThese sectors heavily rely on advanced semiconductor technologies, and China’s involvement has not only escalated demand but also underscored the country’s ambitions for self-sufficiency in semiconductor manufacturing.
Delving into the specifics, the semiconductor equipment market in China primarily encompasses photolithography machines, etching equipment, thin-film deposition systems, testing equipment, and packaging equipmentNotably, photolithography machines account for roughly 24% of the total market share, followed by etching and thin-film deposition equipment, which each hold about 20%. The statistics paint a picture of a relatively young yet rapidly evolving industry that is beginning to establish its footprint in global markets.
Despite the promising growth, statistics reveal that China still faces challenges regarding its reliance on imported semiconductor equipment
In 2022, the total import value for semiconductor equipment reached approximately $34.72 billion, indicating a low ratio of domestic self-research and developmentTo combat this situation and enhance independence, increasing the domestic production rate of semiconductor equipment has emerged as a critical technological objectiveIn 2022, the domestic production rate climbed to 14.08%. This marks an increase of 3.28 percentage points compared to the previous yearThe growth shows a concerted effort towards technological advancement despite the inherent challenges presented by a competitive global economy.
In August of 2023, two significant projects in the semiconductor sector from Hunan were successfully acknowledged—these projects focus on the key technologies for the localization of third-generation semiconductor core equipment and the suite of 8-inch integrated circuit devices
Successful project completion symbolizes substantial progress in China's capability to develop and manufacture core semiconductor equipment independentlySuch advancements not only demonstrate the country's burgeoning expertise in semiconductor technology but also provide a fresh impetus for sustained growth in the industry.
As the world turns its attention toward the future, projections made by the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) offer a hopeful outlookThe continuous investments in artificial intelligence are expected to drive the demand for various semiconductor segments, leading to an upward revision of global semiconductor sales forecastsWSTS projects that the sales figure for 2024 will reach approximately $611.23 billion, reflecting a 16% year-on-year growth, surpassing 2022’s sales figures and hitting a record high.
In terms of integrated circuits (IC), WSTS has revised its projections upwards, expecting sales to reach $517.46 billion in 2024, marking an impressive 20.8% increase
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